System performance under IPCC climate scenarios. SWRO pipeline provides rainfall-independent strategic backbone under any climate pathway.
Wadi Flow
550
Mm³/yr (mid-estimate)
Regional Reserve
267
days
System Status
ROBUST
Strategic reserve maintained
SWRO Contribution
43%
of total annual inflow
Reservoir Level Over 36 Months Under Scenario
100%80%60%40%20%0%
Yr 1 Q1Yr 1 Q3Yr 2 Q1Yr 2 Q3Yr 3 Q1Yr 3 Q3
KS Level with AQUAVOLT
Estimated level without system
40% FSL critical floor
Scenario Comparison — System vs No System
Scenario
Without AQUAVOLT
With AQUAVOLT
Baseline 2026
47 days
267 days
SSP1-1.9 (optimistic)
45 days
255 days
SSP2-4.5 (intermediate)
38 days
241 days
SSP5-8.5 (worst case)
27 days
218 days ✓
5-Year drought sequence
CRITICAL FAILURE
186 days ✓
30-Day pipeline outage
No buffer
267 → 262 days ✓
Key resilience factor: The SWRO pipeline provides 200–260 Mm³/yr of rainfall-independent inflow. Even under SSP5-8.5 (50% wadi flow reduction), the pipeline alone sustains the reserve — making the system robust under all credible 2100 scenarios.
Economic & Financial Model
Adjust assumptions to stress-test the financial case. Base case: SAR 18.4B NPV, 12.1% IRR, ~8-year payback.
Model Assumptions
Total CAPEXSAR 10,813 M
SAR 8,000 MSAR 14,000 M
Discount Rate6.5%
Annual Benefit — ConservativeSAR 1,950 M
Project Life50 years
OPEX (% of CAPEX/yr)1.5%
50-yr NPV
SAR 18.4 B
IRR
12.1%
Payback
~8 yrs
BCR
1.8 : 1
Annual Benefit Breakdown
NPV Sensitivity — Discount Rate vs Annual Benefit
Strategic Outcome Summary
Key performance indicators from Patent SA 1020264183 — all numbers verifiable against 28 authoritative sources in the Master White Paper V6.0.
Regional Reserve
267
days (×6 improvement)
▲ From 47 days
National Reserve
29
days (×6 improvement)
▲ From 5 days
vs International Standard
×12.7
the 21-day standard
267 ÷ 21 days
Storage Cost
0.40
SAR/m³ (vs 2.10 desal)
5.25× cheaper
Before vs After — Complete Comparison
Metric
Before
After AQUAVOLT HSAWES
Total integrated storage
~228 Mm³
1,290 Mm³
Regional reserve
47 days
267 days (~9 months)
National reserve
5 days
29 days
vs 21-day standard
Below standard
×12.7 standard
Drinking water (4M people)
6 days
267 days
Agricultural reserve
3 days
104 days
Storage cost (per m³)
SAR 2.10 (desal)
SAR 0.40 (5.25× cheaper)
Climate stress (SSP5-8.5)
Critical failure risk
Robust through 2100
30-day outage scenario
Humanitarian crisis
Reserve absorbs entirely
Aquifer depletion
3–6 m/yr decline
Partially reversed by MAR
Annual benefits
—
SAR 1,950–3,389 M/yr
50-year NPV
—
SAR 18.4 billion
IRR / Payback
—
12.1% / ~8 years
Vision 2030 Alignment
Patent & IP Status
🔒
Patent SA 1020264183
Filed with SAIP — May 2026
● FILED
🌍
PCT International Filing
Planned — subject to strategic review
● PLANNED
📋
Full Technical White Paper
V6.0 — 28 references — available under NDA
● READY
🔬
Phase 0 Field Verification
SAR 15–24 M · 6–10 months · KFUPM cooperation sought